{"id":9161,"date":"2026-03-30T00:33:27","date_gmt":"2026-03-29T23:33:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tanja7.com\/en\/9161"},"modified":"2026-03-30T00:33:27","modified_gmt":"2026-03-29T23:33:27","slug":"live-updates-iran-issues-warning-regarding-potential-u-s-ground-invasion-troops-deploy-to-the-middle-east","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tanja7.com\/en\/9161","title":{"rendered":"Live updates: Iran issues warning regarding potential U.S. ground invasion; troops deploy to the Middle East."},"content":{"rendered":"

Job growth was lackluster<\/a> last year in the United States, but signs of stabilization, if not a rebound, were starting to emerge.<\/p>\n

Now, the expanding conflict in the Middle East not only interrupts that potential progress, but also threatens to knock the labor market further off course.<\/p>\n

Since the war began thirty days ago, the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has increased oil prices, hampered the supply chain and pushed up the cost of gasoline. Inflation fears have heightened, as has uncertainty. That\u2019s a dynamic that could strangle the labor market.<\/p>\n

\u201cIf the Strait of Hormuz remains closed and the oil price stays above $100 through April, then I think it\u2019s a game-changer,\u201d said Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union. \u201cThen you\u2019re talking about a very different economy, then you\u2019re talking about layoffs re-entering the picture.\u201d<\/p>\n

The listless, anemic, \u201clow-hire, low-fire\u201d labor market dynamic is expected to persist \u2026 for now.<\/p>\n

\u201cUncertainty is delaying, not canceling, hiring plans,\u201d Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon, told CNN last week.<\/p>\n

Daco currently expects a \u201cjobless\u201d expansion, with employment gains of around 20,000 per month in the first half of the year and unemployment (currently at 4.4%) drifting toward 4.7% by the end of the year.<\/p>\n

\u201cWith recession odds around 40%, the risk is that a prolonged pause in hiring eventually turns into more visible softening,\u201d he wrote. \u201cFor now, it\u2019s still a cooling, not a cracking. But if uncertainty were to re-escalate, those cracks could emerge by late-spring.\u201d<\/p>\n

Read more about <\/strong>how the war could impact the US job market<\/strong><\/a> here.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Job growth was lackluster last year in the United States, but signs of stabilization, if not a rebound, were starting to emerge. Now, the expanding conflict in the Middle East not only interrupts that potential progress, but also threatens to knock the labor market further off course. 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